Ben Tóth’s talking point outline is a “must print out” reference!
I’ve already printed out my copy. Watch the show he co-hosted this week with China Writers’ Group member Billy Bob (https://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=100003511545399),
Blowback: Exposing Imperial Decline
https://www.youtube.com/@BlowbackExposingImperial-hh8ig
Outline
TOPICAL
EARLY WARNING RADARS – These systems don’t even see Ukraine, they see over the curve, 6,000km away to detect ICBMs.
ELENSKY GETS HYSTERIC – Fears Peace Conference will be a flop – it will – increasingly unhinged, goes on EU support tour.
GEORGIA REVOKES VETO – Under extreme pressure from the West, the final vote is taking place today – likely now.
THE TRAGIC MISHAP – Now Netanyahu blames a shard of shrapnel, ‘or something else’ that hit a nearby fuel tank
SHITSHOW IN PACIFIC – US delegation arrives to give Taiwan ‘President’ Lai a funny hat, better weapons than Ukraine.
BATTLEGROUND 404
404 INSANITY
– 404: Ukraine attacked a Russian nuclear ballistic missile detection radar in Armavir, Krasnodar region ( Ukr. Int – confirmed )
– 404: Ukraine attacked a second such radar in Orsk, Orenburg region – 1,500km from border ( Ukraine intelligence )
——————————————————
– RUC: Ukraine hit key element of Russia’s nuclear umbrella – ‘US commissioned a crime, hired a bandit‘ – Rogozin ( RT RU )
– RUC: A drone fell near Orsk – no threat to residents, or civilian objects – not a clear rebuttal? ( Ria RU )
404 GREEN GOBLIN
– 404: Elensky gave his daily video address on Friday, in a rather hysterical manner ( his Telegram )
┕ He claimed Putin was powerless without lies, which is why he fears Peace Summit outcomes
– 404: Elensky’s office published an interview with the New York Times on Saturday ( President.gov.ua )
┝ He claimed that Putin is either ‘unhinged / insane’ to launch a full-scale invasion against Ukraine,
┝ Or he knew he wouldn’t be punished, and had ‘some sort of dialogue with other countries’.
┝ He didn’t want to consider this option because it would mean a ‘game being played behind our backs
┕ And what he calls a ‘complete betrayal’, so it’s probably the first option.
– 404: Elensky gave an interview to the Kazakh outlet Vlast on Saturday ( Interfax UA )
┝ He said ‘countries like China‘ who ‘talk about respect for territorial integrity’ need to protect Ukraine
┝ He urged Chinese leaders to stop trying to ‘balance’ between Ukraine and Russia
┕ He claimed that Russian losses in the ‘Kharkov offensive’ were 8 times higher than Ukraine‘s
– 404: Elensky created a new 1 minute video apparently among Kharkov printing house ruins ( his Telegram )
┝ He claimed Russia was ‘at war with the world and all aspects of normal life‘
┝ He implied the troops in Belgorod region were planning an offensive on Sumy
┝ He pleaded ‘permission to strike those Kremlin troops‘ with Western missiles
┝ He said this weakness is not Ukraine’s but ‘the world’s‘,
┝ The world – for the third year – has ‘not dared to treat terrorists exactly as they deserve’
┕ He pleaded with Joe Biden, and Xi Jinping to attend his Swiss peace summit
– 404: Elensky traveled to Spain and met met Prime Minister Sánchez and King Felipe in Madrid ( Kyiv ‘Independent’ )
┝ King Felipe VI assured him that Spain will work to hold ‘Russia accountable for all the crimes committed‘
┝ He said Russia dropped 3,200 bombs on Ukraine in May at a press conference in Madrid
┝ He rejected Russian participation in Swiss Peace Summit insisting it will ‘block everything’
┝ He signed a €1B ‘bilateral’ weapons deal for Ukraine to be delivered ‘this year’, includes..
┝ The weapons package will contain 12 Patriot missiles and 19 used Leopard 2A4 tanks
┝ He confirmed he will be visiting Portugal on Tuesday, to talk security and defense cooperation with PM
┕ Added that he will also be visiting Brussels, Belgium on Tuesday to ink security deals, and ‘inspect F-16s’.
– 404: Elensky traveled to Belgium and met met Prime Minister DeCroo and King Felipe in Madrid ( Kyiv ‘Independent’ )
┝ He secured another €977 million in Belgian military aid this year, and signed another bilateral security deal
┝ The ten year deal includes a supply of 30 F-16 fighter jets – by 2028 – ‘the first of which will appear this year’
┝ He said ‘Putin will give a standing ovation if Biden ignores Peace Summit’ at a Press Conference
┕ Visited a the Melsbroek NATO airbase – near Brussels – to take photos with representatives and F-16 jets.
404 BATTLEFIELDS
– 404: Ukraine started freeing prisoners to join the military – 350 ‘serve for the possibility of parole‘ – JM Denys Maliushka ( NYT )
– 404: Depleted but not defeated – Ukraine’s frontline brigade fighting to the last man – Assault Brigade, Chasov Yar ( Times UK )
– 404: Russian offensive into Kharkov Oblast is stretching Ukrainian defenses – forcing to deploy reserves ( Kyiv ‘Independent’ )
– 404: Aiming to mobilize thousands, Ukraine is digitizing its military – needs to assess available manpower ( Kyiv ‘Independent’ )
– 404: Russia is claimed by Ukraine to have bombed a ‘hardware superstore‘ in Kharkov – tons of secondary explosions ( NYT )
– 404: German intelligence agencies suggested that Ukraine will face ‘large territorial losses‘ this year ( Welt DE > Ukro Pravda )
– 404: French instructors to visit Ukrainian training centers ‘soon’ – documents signed – Syrski after calling Lecornu ( Reuters )
– 404: ‘They send our people to their deaths‘ – a civilian-to-Ukrainian soldier survives for three hours at the front ( Tények HU )
– 404: Western fighters in Ukraine getting killed because they assumed war would be easy – US veteran ( Business Insider )
– 404: Ukraine‘s General Staff is to be reduced by 60% – with some personnel to be sent to combat units ( Ukro Pravda )
– 404: ‘Thousands’ of troops mass on Ukraine‘s border in Belgorod – satellite imagery – ‘fix and draw’ operations ( ISW )
– 404: Ukraine war maps reveal Russian advances along the whole front line – Donetsk, Lugansk, Kharkov ( ISW )
– 404: Outgunned and short on shells – inside a Ukrainian front-line artillery unit – embedded video story ( WSJ )
– 404: ‘Everyone will fight’ – Ukrainian men weigh their options as new draft law comes into effect ( CNN )
404 AT HOME
– 404: Ukraine’s drone companies face ‘death, migration, or global acquisition‘ – defense spending squeeze ( Kyiv ‘Independent’ )
– 404: How Kiev foiled a plot by rogue colonels to assassinate spy chief Budanov – James Bond fantasy ( Times UK Exclusive )
– 404: Case opened against the command of the 125th brigade for leaving their positions in the Kharkov region ( Ukro Pravda )
– 404: Demonstration fortification in Kharkov Oblast used for officials to take photos – investigative committee ( NVo Ukraine )
– 404: Ukraine in talks with EU to maximize electricity imports – Energy minister German Galuschenko ( Reuters )
– 404: Ukraine says its own ‘careless’ troops may be behind Russian gains – an inquiry will examine ( Newsweek )
– 404: Next year we have an uncovered need from 12 to 15 billion dollars – FM Serhiy Marchenko ( Ukro Pravda )
G-7 FINANCE MEETING
– 404: Ukraine is pleased with G-7 asset plan progress, finance minister Serhiy Marchenko ( Bloomberg )
——————————————————
– USC: European banks in Russia face an ‘awful lot of risk‘ – US to strengthen secondary sanctions on them – Yellen ( Euractiv )
– USC: US & allies move to tap frozen Russian funds despite Kremlin threats – ‘close to securing EU support‘ – Yellen ( WaPo )
– USC: Yellen wants G7 ‘wall of opposition‘ to China‘s ‘excess industrial capacity’ – she said at Italy FM summit ( Reuters )
– USC: A $50B US–EU deal for Ukraine is in sight – use frozen Russian assets to secure an enormous loan ( Politico EU )
– USC: China ‘slammed’ in G-7 show of unity threatening trade escalation – ensure ‘level playing field’ ( Bloomberg )
——————————————————
– EUK: Europe still unsure over US plan on Russian assets – fear they are ‘on the hook‘ for $50B loan ( Politico EU )
– EUK: G-7 finance chiefs also press China to cut ‘industrial subsidies‘ – implement global tax deal ( FT UK )
– EUK: G-7 Ministers cite ‘progress’ but no done deal on Russian assets for Ukraine ( Kyiv Post )
SPONSORS GOING MAD
– USC: Are Russia and North Korea planning an ‘October surprise’ that aids Trump? – ‘possibly at the uring of Putin‘ ( NBC )
– USC: Biden needs Ukraine to start winning again – as much as Ukraine needs Biden – Michael McFaul ( Substack )
– USC: Elensky is relying on his TV charisma but a photo-op no longer has the currency it once had in US ( Sky UK )
– USC: Russia is flooding Europe with disinformation – the US elections are next – Lee Hockstader ( WaPo ☄ )
– USC: Biden reaffirms no US troops for Ukraine – West Point graduation speech ( Kyiv Post )
——————————————————
– EUK: British parents ‘could be fined if children refuse to do National Service’ – court prosecutions not ruled out ( Telegraph UK )
– EUK: Ukraine can still recover with bolder western support – right now it’s on the ropes – Timothy G. Ash ( Guardian UK ☄ )
– EUK: Sunak vows to reintroduce UK national service in first major campaign policy – to help forster ‘national spirit’ ( FT UK )
——————————————————
– EUK: ‘Ukraine has right to defend itself‘ – Swedish DM Pal Johns – strikes Russia with Western weapons ( Kyiv ‘Independent’ )
– EUK: Italy opposes Stoltenberg on using Western weapons against targets in Russia – Deputy PM Matteo Salvini ( Euractiv )
– EUK: NATO wants to free Ukraine to strike hard inside Russia – Jens Stolenberg ‘rules should be eased‘ ( Economist UK )
– EUK: NATO chief’s remarks on Ukraine strikes spark tensions in Italy – recant, apologize or resign – Salvini ( Decode39 IT)
– EUK: NATO allies seek clarity on Stoltenberg’s €100B 5-year plan for Ukraine ( Politico EU )
– EUK: NATO’s Stoltenberg fears funding run dry without ‘binding commitment’ ( Politico EU )
——————————————————
– EUK: Baltic officials could send troops to Ukraine without waiting for NATO if Russia scores a breakthrough ( Business Insider )
– EUK: Sending Estonian soldiers to Ukraine, even if they suffer, will not lead to NATO war with Russia – Kallas ( Postimees ES )
– EUK: Six NATO nations plan ‘drone wall‘ to protect against Russian aggression – Poland, Norway, Finland, Baltics3 ( FT UK )
– EUK: Polish FM Sikorski says US will strike Russian troops in Ukraine if Russia uses nuclear weapons ( Kyiv ‘Independent’ )
– EUK: Kaja Kallas in Sweden – Putin wanted to prevent me from becoming Secretary General of NATO ( Defli EE )
– EUK: Polish FM Sikorski – Poland to limit movement of Russian diplomats – due to ‘hybrid war on EU‘ ( Reuters )
– EUK: Polish FM Sikorski calls for long-term rearmament of Europe – exclusive interview ( Guardian UK )
– EUK: Polish FM Sikorski accuses Russia of trying to influence the EU elections ( Euronews )
——————————————————
– EUK: EU aims to salvage Ukraine peace conference – ‘face-saving outcome’ – Saudi–Russian meeting autumn ( Bloomberg )
– EUK: German officer gave up secrets to Russia ‘to prevent nuclear war’ – envelopes over consulate walls ( Telegraph UK )
– EUK: Macron, Scholz plan joint push to boost European air defense – ‘historic decisions’ needed ( Bloomberg Exclusive )
– EUK: EU wants to follow up peace summit with conference with Russia in autumn, sources say ( Kyiv ‘Independent’ )
– EUK: The exiled Russian station waging war on Putin’s propaganda – TV Rain / Dozhd in Amsterdam ( Times UK )
——————————————————
– LAT: Argentina to join coalition for the return of kidnapped Ukrainian children – after UA delegation visit ( Kyiv ‘Independent’ )
THEY ALL HATE HUNGARY
– EUK: Viktor Orbán holds up Ukraine arms funding from frozen Russian assets – proposal to fast-track $2b weapons ( FT UK )
– EUK: EU ministers fume as ‘outrageous‘ Hungary yet again blocks military aid for Ukraine – Landsbergis leads ( Politico EU )
– EUK: Hungary seeks to ‘redefine’ its NATO membership over Ukraine – they are planning for war, we want peace ( FT UK )
– EUK: ‘It has gone very far‘ EU countries voice exasperation over Hungary‘s vetoes on Ukraine aid ( Euronews )
– EUK: Hungary ‘systematically‘ obstructing support for Ukraine – Lithuanian FM Landsbergis ( Telegraph UK )
– EUK: Frustrated EU ministers urge Hungary to stop blocking military aid to Ukraine ( Reuters )
– EUK: EU countries vent anger at Hungary’s blockages of Ukraine aid decisions ( Euractiv )
– EUK: EU Nations fume over Hungary’s vetoes of Ukraine weapons aid ( Bloomberg )
( context : named diplomats : Lithuania, Latvia and Belgium as well as Borrell )
GEORGIA FRONT
– USC: US pressures Georgia government to ditch ‘foreign agent’ law – two bills to ‘persuade’ Georgian government ( Euronews )
– USC: US announces travel ban for Georgian Dream politicians behind ‘foreign agent’ law ( Politico EU )
——————————————————
– EUK: Georgia set to approve ‘foreign agents’ law amid growing Western backlash – US sanctions, EU warnings ( Politico EU )
– EUK: Georgia‘s President Salome Zourabichvili is the last line of defense against the ‘Russian law‘ ( LeMonde FR )
——————————————————
– WEA: ‘Certain friends and foes’ want Georgia to send troops to Ukraine – Parliament leader Papuashvili ( RT RU )
– WEA: Georgian parliament committee rejects president’s Russian law veto – full vote on Tuesday ( Euronews )
MEANWHILE THE MOTHERLAND
– USC: Optimistic about the war in Ukraine, Putin unleashes a purge at home – high-level corruption arrests ( NYT )
——————————————————
– EUK: ‘Putin’s patience snapped’ – Insiders marvel at Russia’s military purge – tackling corruption aggressively ( Guardian UK )
——————————————————
– RUC: Russia to answer with mirror measures if its assets in West illegally used – Finance minister Anton Siluanov ( Tass RU )
– RUC: Plane of Ukraine‘s former pro-Russian president – Yanukovych – arrives in Belarus, as leaders meet ( Ukro Pravda )
– RUC: Russia to build Central Asia’s first nuclear power plant in Uzbekistan – Uzbek president meeting Putin ( Reuters )
– RUC: Kremlin sees controversy between NATO’s call to attack Russia, non-involvement in conflict – Peskov ( Tass RU )
– RUC: NATO is already in direct confrontation – warlike rhetoric, falling into ‘wartime ecstasy’ – Dmitry Peskov ( RT RU )
– RUC: Ukraine peace summit is another scam invented by the US State Department – Maria Zakharova ( RT RU )
– RUC: Those invited to alleged peace summit should be aware of Stoltenberg urge – Maria Zakharova ( Tass RU )
– RUC: Stoltenberg does not have the authority to lobby for strikes with Western arms – Sergei Lavrov ( RT RU )
– RUC: Russia invites Taliban to St. Petersburg International Economic Forum – Foreign Ministry ( Tass RU )
– RUC: Support for Russia’s oldest liberal party – Yabloko – falls to 0% – public opinion survey ( RT RU )
– RUC: Putin is aware that Ukraine‘s presidency has expired – ‘it is not an idle question‘ ( Tass RU )
– RUC: Putin arrives in neighboring Belarus for a two-day visit with a key ally ( AP )
BATTLEGROUND WEST ASIA
RAFAH CAMP BURNS
– PAL: Israel condemned for bombing Rafah camp as civilians ‘burnt alive‘ in Tel-al-Sultan neighborhood ( Telegraph UK )
– PAL: Fighting rages in Gaza despite ICJ ruling Israel offensive must stop – Israel airstrikes Rafah ( Euronews )
– PAL: ‘Nothing justifies what we have witnessed here‘ – the doctors returning home from Gaza ( Guardian UK )
– PAL: Charred bodies and flames – A doctor said the majority of the victims are women and children ( NYT )
– PAL: Egypt and Israel investigate border ‘shooting incident’ in Rafah area – details remain murky ( WaPo )
– PAL: ‘Dozens’ killed as tents ‘catch fire‘ after Israeli strike on Rafah – IDF investigates – wow ( Times UK )
– PAL: Access to aid in Gaza was dire – now it’s worse – operations are at risk of shutting down ( NYT )
– PAL: Egypt’s security officer killed during a shooting incident near the Rafah border crossing ( NYT )
– PAL: Eyewitnesses describe horrific scenes after Israeli strike on Rafah camp ( WaPo )
– PAL: Deadly fire spreads despair, grief among Gazans after Israeli strike ( Reuters )
——————————————————
– ISR: Israel blames deadly fire on shard of shrapnel – or something else that hit a fuel tank 100m away ( Telegraph UK )
– ISR: Bank of Israel forgoes rate cut, warns on war budget, inflation – war already costing $16 billion ( Bloomberg )
– ISR: Israel intensifies Rafah attacks, defying Court of Justice ruling – strikes throughout Gaza ( Politico EU )
– ISR: World Court’s order on Rafah does not rule out entire offensive, Israeli official says ( Reuters )
– ISR: ‘Tragic mishap‘ – Netanyahu acknowledges deadly Israeli strike on Rafah ( Euronews )
– ISR: Netanyahu calls civilian deaths in Israeli strike in Rafah a ‘tragic accident‘ ( NYT )
——————————————————
– EUK: Call to prosecute Netanyahu for war crimes exposes the west’s moral doublethink – Simon Tisdall ( Guardian UK ☄ )
– EUK: EU and Israel in war of words as ties nosedive ahead of Spain, Ireland, Norway recognizing Palestinian state ( AP )
– EUK: Three European countries to recognize Palestine on Tuesday – Ireland, Norway, Spain ( Telegraph UK )
– EUK: EU ‘considering Israel sanctions‘ unless Rafah attacks stop – Irish FM Micheál Martin ( Telegraph UK )
– EUK: EU foreign chief says Israel must respect UN court, control settler violence in the West Bank ( AP )
– EUK: EU foreign policy chief ‘horrified‘ by Rafah attack as Macron says he is ‘outraged‘ ( Guardian UK )
– EUK: ‘No longer justifiable‘ – European leaders condemn Israel’s strike on refugee camp ( Politico EU )
– EUK: Israel’s actions are ‘incompatible with international law‘ says Germany’s Habeck ( Politico EU )
——————————————————
– UN: UN ME envoy condemns Israeli strike on Rafah – urges Israel to conduct ‘thorough and transparent’ inves. ( Guardian UK )
– UN: UN chief ‘trusts‘ Israel will comply with ICJ order to halt Rafah assault – Israeli officials ignore him ( WaPo )
– UN: UN Security Council to hold emergency meeting on IDF strike at Rafah on May 28 ( Tass RU )
– UN: UN court order demanding Israel to halt Gaza offensive further isolates US position ( AP )
——————————————————
– USC: Pentagon says none of aid sent via US pier in Gaza has been delivered to broader Palestinian population ( CNN )
– USC: Israel’s borrowing spree reaches Palm Beach as US municipalities pile in – governments enthusiastic ( FT UK )
– USC: US urges Israel to ‘take every precaution‘ to protect civilians after ‘devastating’ Rafah strike ( Guardian UK )
– USC: US silent as global condemnation of Israel’s Rafah offensive grows – maintains invasion is ‘limited‘ ( WaPo )
– USC: Visiting southern Israel, Nikki Haley blames Iran, Russia and China for October 7 ( Times of Israel )
– USC: Trump told donors he will crush pro-Palestinian protests, deport demonstrators ( WaPo )
BIDEN’S PIER WASHED AWAY
– PAL: $320 million US pier collapses in Gaza, drifts to Ashdod – videos ( Al Mayadeen LB )
– PAL: Biden‘s $320m Gaza pier has detached & drifted onto Israeli beach ( ZeroHedge )
ON IRAN
– USC: Biden administration presses allies – Britain, France – not to confront Iran on nuclear program ( WSJ Exclusive )
– USC: US expected to lift ban on sale of offensive weapons to Saudi Arabia – seeks to improve relations ( FT UK )
——————————————————
– EUK: French court finds three Syrian officials guilty of crimes against humanity – ‘Assad officials’ in absentia ( Guardian UK )
– EUK: The EU’s pathetic crocodile tears for Iranian hangman – appeasing ‘murderous mullahs‘ to reopen trade ( Politico EU )
BATTLEGROUND ASIA
ECONOMIC WAR FRONT
– USC: US assures Europe – We’ll keep sending you gas, we promise – Biden pausing LNG projects ‘rattled them‘ ( Politico EU )
– USC: Xi’s China EV dream came true – 10 years on, walls are going up – strength a source of pain for US, EU ( Bloomberg )
– USC: How China pulled so far ahead on Industrial Policy – US/EU trying to catch up – China using all levers of govt. ( NYT )
– USC: The United States used to have a cachet in China – not anymore – culture and ideas ‘wane’ in China ( WaPo )
– USC: America is getting ready for space warfare – Pentagon officials open up – against China, Russia ( WSJ )
– USC: Anxious democrats want Biden to show more empathy on the Economy – care about inflation ( WSJ )
– USC: Biden doesn’t want you buying an EV from China – citing US jobs and ‘national security’ ( NYT )
——————————————————
– EUK: EU wants spies on university campuses to fight Chinese tech espionage – ‘secure work vs foreign influence’ ( Politico EU )
– EUK: Porsche tries to reassure Chinese dealers as EV sales fall – local brands surge, dealers talk compensation ( Bloomberg )
– EUK: French cognac makers – don’t sacrifice us in EU-China trade war – being held hostage to EU trade probe ( Politico EU )
– EUK: America breaks global rules as it defends the free world – intl.order clearly in decline – Gideon Rachman ( FT UK ☄ )
– EUK: Next UK government faces hardest fiscal challenge in 70 years – raise tax, cut spending or huge debt ( Bloomberg )
——————————————————
– RUC: China raises $47bn for chip industry in drive for self-sufficiency – largest fund to date – toolmakers for industry ( FT UK )
– RUC: China’s ‘Kim Kardashian’ banned in crackdown on online influencers flaunting their wealth ( Telegraph UK )
TAIWAN FRONT
– USC: Taiwan to get better, newer weapons than Ukraine – despite China‘s warnings – Senator Michael McCaul ( RT RU )
– USC: US lawmakers visit Taiwan and vow support in face of Chinese military drills – promise to stand by Lai ( NYT )
– ASO: US ‘deeply concerned‘ over China military drills in Taiwan Strait, State Department statement says ( Reuters )
– USC: US sees Chinese ‘provocations’ in military drills around Taiwan – Pentagon voices confidence ( Bloomberg )
– USC: US lawmakers ‘bipartisan delegation’ ignore China warning, meet with Taiwan’s new leader ( WaPo )
——————————————————
– EUK: In restive New Caledonia, Macron sees Pacific power and influence – against China becoming ‘hegemonic‘ ( Reuters )
——————————————————
– ASO: America’s new island fighters are preparing for conflict – a stone’s throw from Taiwan – we ‘flew out with them’ ( WSJ )
– ASO: Taiwan in political turmoil as China steps up military intimidation – Parliament seeks to curb Lai‘s power ( FT UK )
– ASO: China, Japan and South Korea hold regional summit overshadowed by US – first time since 2019 ( NYT )
– ASO: China hails ‘new beginning’ at summit with Japan and South Korea – revive free trade talks ( FT UK )
APPENDICES
APPENDIX : Videoclips
– Stoltenberg gymnastics: https://x.com/MyLordBebo/status/1795015507034157174
– Landsbergis gone insane: https://x.com/GLandsbergis/status/1795020850871120142
– Kaja Kallas’s A, B and C: https://x.com/DD_Geopolitics/status/1795067102946115808
– Elensky please come : https://x.com/DD_Geopolitics/status/1794705975573963024
APPENDIX : Legend
☄ = Opinion piece
USC = United States + Canada
RUC = Russia + China
EUK = Europe + United Kingdom | 404 = Ukraine
WEA = West Asia, formerly Middle East | ISR = Israel | PAL = Palestine
ASO = Australia + Oceania
AFR = Africa
LAT = Latin America