SYRIA : MARAT KHAIRULLIN’s Spot On Geostrategic Analysis

I simply write down here Marat Khairullin’s pristine analysis.

Excerpt from his *Lessons from Syria. Assad ans Putin. Why Do the Brutalists lose ? Part 2 (from Marat Khairullin’s Telegram channel) :

” Second, it’s not a disaster for us. Somehow, everything here has worked out cunningly. Syria was a transit point for Russia on the way to Africa. Bye losing Syria, we lose transit bases (both air and sea). This is precisely the point that the Western press is now pointing to. However, reading their jubilant articles, one gets the feeling that behind this jubilation there is obvious annoyance.

WHY ?

Because, if you look a little deeper, Putin has outplayed everyone here too.

The fact that the fall of Syria occurred immediately after the launch of the North-South land corridor at full capacity. From the ports of St-Petersburg along the trans-Caspian land highway through Azerbaidjan and Iran to the ports of the Indian Ocean. The project began to be implemented back in 2000. This will be one of Putin’s great legacies. His major achievement. And it’s not even about the fact that the supply of our projets in Africa (thanks to this route) did not suffer with the fall of Assad.

The implementation of this corridor really opens up huge prospects that take your breath away. I will not describe all the adantages, they are well known. I just want to draw attention to how subtly Putin played the Turkish card.

IN FACT, WE GAVE SYRIA TO TURKEY.

We put ourselves in their position, so to speak – The Turks have 4 million refugees from Syria on the border. Plus the Kurds. Plus Iranian proxies. Plus everything else. Take it, dear friend Erdogan, this hornet’s nest – it is now your problem.

Formally, we exchanged Syria for cooperation with Turkey. In particular, along the North-South corridor, and also, probably, for the right to build a second nuclear power plant. Perhaps there is something else.

Putin has put our relations with Turkey on such a solid footing that in 10-15 years (maybe a little more) we will see exactly the same agreement on strategic cooperation with the Turks as with Iran, North Korea. Or as with Kazakhstan. This is a very important achievement. We did not stand up for Assad now, because if we had stood up, in the eyes of the Peoples of the Middle East we would have been no better than the Americans, who supported Somoza to the last. Assad had a second chance, and we supported him honestly. Until the critical moment arrived.

Having “escaped” from the war in time, we managed to leave the problems to all our sworn partners. Let’s take Israel. Instead of Iranian proxies, which Russia kept “on a leash and in a muzzle” in Syria, Israel got a full-fledged Turkish gang on its borders.

The Turkey-Israel connection, and even with the British Al-Qaeda (HTS meaning Hayat Tahrir al-Shams, the Movement for the Liberation of the Levant) intermediary – I tell you, this will be worse than any bazaar – try to come to an agreement.

Russia and Iran washed their hands of the asset, dumping it, which has lost its value, freeing up their energy for other areas and gaining the opportunity to focus on building projects that can bring real profit. And besides, we rendered a great formal service to Turkey – it wants to have fun to the fullest, for God’s sake. The main thing is that now the Turks are also our allies. Simply brilliant.

At the same time, we wink at Trump with both eyes : look what favor we did you – we returned Syria to the Islamists, removed Iran from Israel. And a favor, as they say, for a favor : let’s urgently start a peace process in Ukraine. Zelensky on the stake, NATO in the toilet. Somehow, it’s very timely that the US started talking about peace.

That is, no matter how you look at it, we “exchanged” Syria very successfully. Especially since the Assad regime was dead anyway. Formally, it is a defeat. So, of course, we will sprinkle ashes on our heads and cheerfully watch the Anglo-Saxons celebrate their victory with sour smiles. Putin publicly sold them a rotten apple that they cannot refuse.

Democracy, you say ?

Here, your Islamists, let them show you how to build a happy life.

And we will go about our business.

Of course, no one will ever be able to confirm this, but it is no coincidence that this card fell so successfully. It is hard to believe that it happened by itself. “